Nifty Declines 0.4 Per Cent Amid Rising Crude Prices and FIIs Selling

The CSR Journal Magazine

The Nifty index experienced a decline of 0.42 per cent, while broader market indices showed mixed results on Wednesday. The Sensex closed slightly lower at 72,480.29, a drop of 48.78 points or 0.07 per cent. In contrast, the Nifty 50 finished at 22,620.45, down by 95.75 points. Initial trading witnessed a positive opening, with the Sensex rising approximately 185 points; however, this momentum faded throughout the trading session.

While the Nifty Midcap 100 remained nearly unchanged, the Smallcap 100 noted a modest increase of 0.27 per cent. The Nifty Midcap 50 reduced only by 0.01 per cent, whereas the Nifty 500 fell by 0.13 per cent. Additionally, the India VIX, a measure of market volatility, rose by 0.61 per cent, indicating an increase in market uncertainty.

Sector analysis revealed a mixed performance among various indices. The Nifty Media sector emerged as the top performer, gaining 2.74 per cent, while Nifty Realty increased by 1.62 per cent. Other sectors like Nifty PSU Bank, Private Bank, and Oil & Gas also reported modest gains. Conversely, the healthcare sector faced significant pressure, with the Nifty Healthcare index dropping by 2.57 per cent and Nifty Pharma declining by 1.84 per cent.

Contribution of Banking and IT Stocks

Several large-cap stocks provided support to the Sensex despite the overall decline. Notable gainers included Kotak Mahindra Bank, which increased by 2.86 per cent, and ICICI Bank, which rose by 2.31 per cent. Other contributors were IndiGo and Axis Bank, with increases of 2.05 per cent and 1.41 per cent respectively. Stocks from Technology Mahindra, Hindustan Unilever, BEL, and TCS also performed positively.

However, the day saw selling pressure on several heavyweight stocks. Key declines were observed in Eternal, which fell by 2.31 per cent, and Sun Pharma, down by 2.15 per cent. Additional notable decreases included Titan at 2.01 per cent, Tata Steel and Adani Ports at 1.76 per cent each, while HDFC Bank reduced by 1.43 per cent.

Factors Influencing Market Sentiment

The rise in crude oil prices has raised concerns in the market. Brent crude oil prices increased by 0.82 per cent to $103.43 per barrel, while WTI crude gained 0.37 per cent to reach $89.71 per barrel. Given India’s heavy reliance on crude imports, these elevated prices may affect inflation rates, the rupee, and corporate profit margins.

Foreign investors continued to sell off shares, adding to the bearish sentiment. On Tuesday, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold Indian shares worth Rs 9,980 crore, marking the largest outflow in approximately four months. In total, FIIs have offloaded around $2.7 billion from the Indian equity markets in September alone. This persistent selling trend is emphasised as a significant concern for the market.

Market analysts highlight that the lack of momentum in the relief rally can be attributed to profit booking at elevated levels, compounded by a rebound in oil prices. As investors navigate macroeconomic uncertainties, the overall market sentiment remains cautious, with close attention on crude oil prices and fluctuations in global bond yields.

The market has now recorded its most substantial monthly decline since March, underpinned by foreign selling, high oil prices, and inflation worries. The Indian rupee did, however, gain 0.17 per cent against the US dollar, standing at 95.82. Despite the recent recovery, the currency remains under pressure, making it one of the weaker-performing currencies in Asia over recent months.

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